Publications

Refereed Articles

• Is Predicting Recessions Enough? Business Economics, V. 51, No. 4 October 2016
• Fed Funds Rate Surprises and Financial Markets, V. 51, No. 1 January 2016
• A Career in a Less-than-Perfect Economy, Business Economics V.50 No.4 October 2015
• An Ordered Probit Approach to Predicting the Probability of Inflation/Deflation, Business Economics V. 50, No. 1 January 2015
• Is the Fed Funds Rate Still Effective? Business Economics V. 49 No.4 October 2014
• Economics in a Major Bank, Business Economics V. 48 No. 4 October 2013
• Relative Intragenerational Economic Mobility: A Cross-Period Analysis from 1968 to 2009, Business Economics V. 48, No. 1 January 2013
• A Comparison of Consensus and BVAR Macroeconomic Forecasts, Business Economics V. 47, No. 4 October 2012
• Three Simple Techniques to Analyze a Complex Economic Phenomenon: The Case of Profits, Business Economics V. 45, No. 2 April  2010
• Subprime Credit: The Evolution of a Market, Business Economics V. 43, No. 3 July 2008
• Domestic Implications of a Global Labor Market, Business Economics V. 41, No. 3 July 2006
• Innocent Bystanders? Monetary Policy and Inequality, Journal of Monetary Economics 88 (2017).
• Monetary Policy and Economic Inequality in the United States, International Monetary Fund Working Papers 2012
• Predicting Interest Rates--An Empirical Study, Journal of Business Forecasting, Fall 2009
• The Changing Nature of Consumer Finance, Laffer Associates March 24, 1998
• Growth Without Government Stimulation? Financing Growth: An American Story, Laffer Associates Nov. 21, 1997
• The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax, Policy Analysis Cato Institute Oct. 4, 1995
• Borrowed Prosperity: The Astrology of Consumer Debt, Laffer Associates Sep. 7, 1988
• Interest Rates, Uncertainty, and Monetary Volatility, Atlantic Economic Journal V. XII No. 2 July 1984
• Financial Deregulation: More Than Just Now Accounts, Indiana Business Review V. 56 Feb. 1981